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Grocery-Anchored Centers: The Defensive Play for 2026

The Safety Trade in Retail Real Estate

When markets get shaky, smart money looks for shelter. In retail real estate, that shelter has a name: grocery-anchored centers.

These assets have weathered multiple cycles. In 2026’s volatile environment, they deserve serious consideration in any defensive portfolio.

The Investment Thesis

The thesis is simple — and powerful.

People have to eat. It doesn’t matter what the economy is doing, where consumer confidence sits, or how volatile the broader market gets. Grocery stores keep drawing traffic. Week after week, rain or shine.

That consistent foot traffic is the engine behind everything else. The dry cleaner next door. The nail salon. The phone repair shop. Every co-tenant in the center benefits from customers who are already in the parking lot. Together, they create an ecosystem of stable, predictable cash flows — the kind that hold up when economic storms roll in.

The numbers back it up. Grocery-anchored centers have maintained occupancy rates 200–400 basis points higher than non-anchored strip retail across economic cycles. Rent collections stayed strong even during pandemic-era disruptions. And tenant failures? Less frequent, because anchor traffic supports the smaller businesses around it.

Why 2026 Makes This Opportunity Even Better

Several forces are converging right now that strengthen the grocery-anchored play.

Limited new supply. Construction costs remain elevated, which means very few new centers are being built. Less competition for tenants. Tighter vacancy.

Distressed sellers creating opportunities. The maturity wall is forcing overleveraged owners to sell — including some quality grocery-anchored assets. That means acquisition opportunities at realistic pricing, not aspirational numbers.

The bifurcated consumer actually helps. This is counterintuitive, but both sides of the consumer economy are spending more at grocery stores. Affluent shoppers are buying premium groceries. Cost-conscious consumers are trading restaurant meals for home cooking. Either way, the grocer wins — and so does the center.

Ready to Add Grocery-Anchored Assets to Your Portfolio?

Williams Capital Advisors specializes in retail investment properties across Southern California — including grocery-anchored centers, NNN assets, and sale-leaseback opportunities. With over $100M in transaction volume and CCIM-certified expertise, we help investors identify, underwrite, and close defensive retail acquisitions that perform through market cycles.

Whether you’re a 1031 exchange buyer on a timeline or building a long-term portfolio, we’ll match you with grocery-anchored opportunities that fit your investment criteria.

Schedule a confidential consultation today.

(213) 880-8107 | francisco.williams@williamscap.ai | williamscapitaladvisors.com

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